Why You Might Not Want To Trust Your 2011 NFL Mock Drafts

NFL mock drafts are a lot of fun, but I think we can all agree that it's all really just a lot of guesswork. Is there any other projection system in the world where a 20-percent conversion rate is deemed a success? Besides NBA mock drafts and the weather, probably not. Even though Jake Locker is projected to go to the Redskins in many recent mock drafts, there's definitely a better chance the Redskins pick someone else rather than him.

↵

To drive this point home even further, SB Nation's Redskins blog Hogs Haven went over some mock drafts last year, and found that none of them projected the No. 10 pick correctly. 

↵
↵

↵↵I researched last year's mock drafts to see the hit rate on the Jaguars, who originally had the #10 overall pick and selected  DT Tyson Alualu. I can't find a single draft that correctly picked Alualu

↵
↵

Granted, this is an extreme example, since Alalu was a huge surprise pick to everyone. But it's still a good lesson for all of us. Mock drafts are fun, but they're not always much more than that.

↵

Trending Discussions

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join SB Nation DC

You must be a member of SB Nation DC to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SB Nation DC. You should read them.

Join SB Nation DC

You must be a member of SB Nation DC to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SB Nation DC. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.