The NFL draft order is based first on the record of each team. But since there are currently eight teams tied with a 6-10 record, the draft order tiebreaker is strength of schedule.
The eight teams with a 6-10 record are the Redskins, Dallas Cowboys, Tennessee Titans, Houston Texans, Detroit Lions, Minnesota Vikings, San Francisco 49ers, and Seattle Seahawks. If the Seahawks win tonight against the St. Louis Rams, they would make the playoffs and improve to a 7-9 record, leaving only seven teams tied at 6-10.
There are also six teams with fewer than six wins who will pick ahead of the Redskins and the other 6-10 teams. The Carolina Panthers, Buffalo Bills, Cincinnati Bengals, Denver Broncos, Cleveland Browns, and Arizona Cardinals will have the first six picks of the 2011 NFL draft.
Of the 6-10 teams, the Redskins played against the fourth weakest strength of schedule, landing them the 11th overall pick if the Rams are to win tonight. Redskins' opponents have won 132 games. Based on their respective schedule strengths, the Lions will pick 14th (139 wins), the Vikings will pick 13th (138 wins), the Texans will pick 12th (135 wins), the Redskins will pick 11th (132 wins), the Cowboys and Titans will pick 9th and 10th (131 wins for each team's opponents), the Seahawks will pick 8th if they don't win tonight (124 wins), and the 49ers will pick 7th (123 wins).
What's all this mean? Well for one thing, it means that Redskins fans should be rooting hard for the Seahawks to win the NFC West tonight. A Seattle win would improve Washington's draft position from 11th to 10th.