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2011 NFL Mock Draft: Cam Newton, Jake Locker Fail One Successful Quarterback Formula

There are all sorts of theories about what makes a successful NFL quarterback. How do teams know if they are getting a good one in the NFL Draft? What techniques work? These are questions that have evaded even the most successful talent evaluators.


In that light, Hogs Haven reminds us of one benchmark that has a pretty good track record: the rule of 26/27/60. First proposed by John P. Lopez of Sports Illustrated, the theory states that good quarterback almost always post a score of at least 26 on the Wonderlic test, start at least 27 college games and complete at least 60 percent of their passes in school. This test has identified many successes (Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Matt Ryan, Phillip Rivers, Sam Bradford) and pinpointed many failures (JaMarcus Russell, Ryan Leaf, Alex Smith, Vince Young, Heath Shuler, Tim Couch). It's not perfect, but it's a good indicator of success.


So where do our favorite quarterback prospects fit in this year? The Wonderlic test hasn't been administered, but Hogs Haven does the research and finds that both Cam Newton and Jake Locker (who is getting mixed reviews at the Senior Bowl) fail this threshold. Locker failed the completion percentage portion, while Newton hasn't started enough games in college. Can't wait to pick one of those guys!


Of course, Donovan McNabb also failed this threshold, and he's a Pro Bowl-caliber ... alright, I'll just stop there.