Week 11 NFL Picks: Cowboys Vs. Redskins, Where We Won't Get Fooled Again

The last time the Washington Redskins played the Dallas Cowboys, the Redskins were on a two-game winning streak and the game was expected to be close. This time, uh, not so much. Vegas expects the Redskins to get blasted, and it has plenty of reasons. Washington is suffering through a five-game losing streak that has featured virtually no offense and two quarterback changes. Dallas, on the other hand, has started putting the pieces together behind rookie running back DeMarco Murray.

But it's a rivalry game, right? The Redskins usually show up against the Cowboys, right? We hope so.

Onto the picks. All lines from SB Nation Odds.

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (+8.5): This game came down to a late field goal earlier in the year. It won't be that close this time. The Cowboys are better at every position on the offensive side of the ball. That's right, at every position. The Redskins defense might keep it close until halftime, but this one ends with the Cowboys on top by double digits. If you must bet, bet the under. Pick: Cowboys.

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (-7): I really want the Bengals to win. They just aren't going to. Last week, they had a chance, but Pittsburgh showed the Bengals who was boss. Baltimore will do the same this week. If not for the ugly Baltimore loss in Seattle last week, I would be tempted to take the Bengals on the road, but Ray Lewis and the Ravens defense won't be embarrassed two weeks in a row. Pick: Ravens.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cleveland Browns (Pick 'em): Jacksonville, maybe with a hammer too. Cleveland is not good. Jacksonville plays good defense and has a strong running game. Maybe I'm missing something here, but I don't think I am. Pick: Jags.

Carolina Panthers at Detroit Lions (-7): Ndamukong Suh against Cam Newton ... this should be fun. I expect to see Newton running for his life against the Lions defensive line, but more importantly for the bet, I think Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson have a dominant day against a weak Panthers defense. Sometimes the square bet is the winner. Pick: Lions.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers (-14): Remember how much fun this game used to be? Warren Sapp trash talking Brett Favre, and Favre firing right back? This game won't be like that. I hate that I am taking a bunch of big favorites so far, but I'm not stopping here. The Packers offense can't be slowed, not at home anyway. Pick: Packers.

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (-1): Just a few weeks ago, the Bills played the Jets in the AFC East "Game of the Year." How quickly things change. This line is a trap though, everyone take a deep breath and relax. We like the Bills. They have the horses. Fred Jackson will go nuts here. Don't inflate a Dolphins team with wins over the schizophrenic Chiefs or awful Redskins. The sharps love all the action going to the Fins. Smart money lives in Buffalo this week. Pick: Bills.

Oakland Raiders at Minnesota Vikings (+1): I know people are coming back to the Carson Palmer bandwagon. Sure, he cheated on me and drinks too much, but those days are done. He's a new man. No, folks, he isn't. The Chargers' defense is soft. The Vikings, at home, are a tough team. Jared Allen is going to eat Palmer's lunch. Michael Bush, smush. Adrian Peterson will remind folks just how great he can be. Pick: Vikings.

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-9.5): The Niners are legit. Maybe they have been hanging out with Barry Conte and the BALCO crowd, but whatever it is, they TCOB. Like Mac and Charlie. Pick: Niners.

Seattle Seahwaks at St. Louis Rams (-1): Our first Who Cares Bowl of the year. From here on out, these will be like Super Bowls, therefore we have: WCI. I'm going with the Seahawks. As someone who just got back from St. Louis, I can assure you that the Rams enjoy no home-field advantage. Plus, Marshawn Lynch makes kids cry. Pick: Seahawks.

Tennessee Titans at Atlanta Falcons (-7): This is a tough game. The Titans can play well, like last week, but they also have some real clunkers on their resume. In Tennessee, i'd take Matt Hasselbeck and company. But in Atlanta, I'm riding with Matt Ryan. Also, this game features two Boston College quarterbacks named Matt. I guarantee the announcers mention that about 10 times during Sunday's game. Pick: Falcons.

San Diego Chargers at Chicago Bears (-3.5): Take the Bears and run. This might be a trap, but to me, the Bears' defense is putting it together at just the right time. It also helps that idiot Mike Martz is running the ball and throwing quick routes instead of making quarterback Jay Cutler run around like a maniac before getting sacked. The Chargers defense is about as effective as Lindsay Lohan's parole officer. Pick: Bears.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-4.5):  Another tricky one. A lot of times, I overanalyze things and talk myself out of the smart bet. i'm not going to do it here. The Giants are playing good football. The Eagles just lost at home to the Cardinals. Pick: Giants.

Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots (-16): Too many points. Vegas is reacting to the big win New England had over the Jets last week. The Patriots will not be as focused this week, and their defense will prove that. New England wins, just not by this many. Pick: Chiefs.